Supporting Resources
Access research papers, datasets, code, and other resources related to the Southern Pine Beetle prediction system and forest management.
System Documentation
Learn about the reliability, utility, and technical implementation of the Southern Pine Beetle prediction system.
Utility and Reliability Report
PDFComprehensive analysis of the prediction system's utility and reliability based on historical data and validation studies.
Research Data
Access the datasets used in the Southern Pine Beetle prediction system, including historical trapping data and model predictions.
Annual Data (1988-2021)
ZIPAnnual trapping data, spot data, and model predictions for each participating county, parish, or federal parcel from 1988-2021.
Weekly Data (1987-2011)
ZIPUnreduced weekly trapping data for each participating county, parish, or federal parcel from 1987-2011.
Weekly Data (2011-2017)
ZIPUnreduced weekly trapping data for each participating county, parish, or federal parcel from 2011-2017.
Technical Resources
Access the technical implementation details, code, and research papers that form the foundation of the prediction system.
Model Code & Documentation
ZIPComplete technical description with code of the model employed by spbpredict.com, including implementation details and usage instructions.
Research Dissertation
PDFDoctoral dissertation by Carissa Aoki (2017) that developed the initial version of the zero-inflated Poisson model used in the prediction system.
Additional References
Key research papers and publications on Southern Pine Beetle population dynamics and forest management.
Population Dynamics Research
Aoki, C. F. 2017. Forest risk and irruptive insect pests: ecology for management in changing times. Dissertation. Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH USA.(Chapter 3 developed the initial version of the zero-inflated Poisson model employed by spbpredict.com, version 1.)
Data Usage Guidelines
When using these resources, please cite the appropriate publications and acknowledge the collaborative effort of the Southern Pine Beetle Monitoring and Prediction Team. For questions about data usage or collaboration opportunities, please contact the research team.
Suggested Citation Format:
SPB Monitoring and Prediction Team. [Year]. [Resource Title]. [Resource Type]. Available at: [URL]. Accessed: [Date].
